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Outlook> 2008> April
Stressful time for buyers and sellers
"ANOTHER severe blow was dealt to home buyers in the December quarter
2007, with interest rate rises biting hard and home loan affordability
deteriorating across Australia, except in Western Australia," says Noel
Dyett, President of the Real Estate Institute of Australia (REIA).
The proportion of family income required to meet average home loan
repayments rose to 37.4 per cent in the December quarter 2007, the
highest level reached during the 22 years that REIA has recorded home
loan affordability data. REIA data relates to all new home loans in a
quarter, and excludes refinancing.
Keith Levy, National Manager, Deposit Power believes that despite
record income and employment levels, the rising costs of food and
petrol combined with interest rate rises have left consumers with
little spending power.
"Even though family income and national employment are at record
levels, competitive pressures within the mortgage industry have left
many people with debts that they may not be capable of maintaining," he
said.
Five of the states and territories have recorded the highest proportion
of income ever needed to meet loan repayments this quarter, while
Tasmania recorded its second highest proportion and Canberra recorded
its third highest proportion.
"As the published data relates to the December quarter 2007, it does
not take into account the February 2008 interest rate rise. While there
are expectations of further interest rate rises during 2008, this is
unlikely to have a significant dampening effect on house prices,
because of the ongoing shortage in housing stock which continues to put
upward pressure on prices.
"It is therefore likely that home loan affordability will continue to worsen during 2008," says Noel Dyett.
"Measures announced by the Government to address affordability are
welcome, but will not have immediate effect. Buyers can expect the pain
to continue for some time. Government should act immediately to provide
more assistance to first home buyers, by increasing the First Home
Owners Grant.
"For those caught in the rental market as a home purchase moves out of
reach, or for those who make an economic choice to rent rather than
buy, newly published REIA data on rental affordability is also not a
source for optimism," Mr Dyett concluded.
Overall in Australia, renting families required 23.9 per cent of their
median family income to meet rent payments in the December quarter
2007. This compares with 22.4 per cent of family income required for
rent in December 2006, and 23.3 per cent in September 2007.
Renters in Tasmania are in the worst position, requiring 28.4 per cent
of family income to meet rent payments in the December quarter 2007.
This is because the Tasmanian median income is the lowest in Australia,
yet rents are relatively high at $280 per week for the December quarter.
Renting in Darwin is now more expensive than buying. The proportion of
family income required to meet rent payments is 26.1 per cent, compared
with 23.3 per cent required for home loan repayments. Darwin
rents are the highest in Australia.
"Again,the clear message is that more housing supply is needed to ease
financial and social stress, particularly at a time when other basic
necessities in life are increasing in price," says Noel Dyett. |