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Outlook> 2004 > Feburary Aussies
have that feel good factorGOOD
jobs prospects and a rising dollar are overriding fears
of another interest rate increase, according to the
latest consumer confidence survey.
While another rate rise, possibly later this month,
remains on the cards, the Westpac/Melbourne Institute
consumer sentiment survey for December rose almost 5 per
cent, after a fall of 4 per cent over the previous two
months.
Confidence is now 10 per -cent higher than at the same
time last year.
The confidence does not extend to the housing market,
however, with auction clearance rates around the country
at lows not seen for a decade last month, as the Reserve
Bank's two interest rate rises late last year began to
bite.
Most capital cities recorded clearance rates well below
50 per cent - except in Adelaide, which chalked up a
slight rise to 53 per cent in December.
The confidence survey follows comments from Reserve Bank
governor Ian Macfarlane, after the second quarter of a
percentage point increase in rates last year, that there
was no rush to move further.
Westpac economist Justin Smirk said although there was a
likely chance of another rise in official interest rates
at the next meeting of the Reserve Bank board, consumers
were buoyed by general economic conditions.
He said consumers felt secure in their jobs and were
enjoying the sense of importance that came with a rising
Australian dollar.
"There is a feel-good factor in the rising
currency," Mr Smirk said.
"Strong consumption and robust momentum in credit
growth is why we believe the Reserve Bank will assess
that interest rates are still too low."
The confidence was backed strong employment figures.
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