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Outlook> 2000 > July Two good years
aheadAUSTRALIA can look forward to two
more years of strong economic growth thanks to the best
global outlook in more than a decade, according to the
latest Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
Development report.
But the OECD is "assuming" that Australian
interest rates will rise further in line with US rates,
despite the protestations of the Federal Treasury that a
tit-for-tat monetary policy was unnecessary and harmful.
The OECD said US official rates might have to rise above
7 per cent from current levels of 6.25 per cent in the
next year or so to curb unsustainable domestic demand,
overheated share prices and building inflation.
It is the global growth that underpins the positive
forecast for Australia.
The OECD is expecting growth of 3.9 per cent this ear and
3.7 per cent in 2001, with exports "likely to be the
major engine of growth".
That should see the current account deficit narrow and
bring unemployment down to 6.4 per cent by 2001, although
the OECD noted a need for "further structural
progress" in the labour market to lower the jobless
figure.
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