|
Home
> Our Publications > Australian
Outlook> 2002 > March Prepare to pay
big in SydneyHOUSE prices in all areas
have surged in recent months but, they seem to be slowing
down, in spite of lower interest rates.
However, Sydney prices keep going up and the Home Price
Guide says the median price for houses across Sydney over
the past 12 months has risen from $334,000 to $355,000
(6.3 per cent), with medians in many inner-city suburbs
rising dramatically.
Consider Surry Hills at 15.2 per cent and Randwick at 8.1
per cent.
The main reason is confident buyers swamping the market
encouraged by consistently low interest rates.
Other factors are expats taking advantage of the low
Australian dollar, and the State and Federal governments'
first home buyers' schemes.
City and East
John McGrath of McGrath Residential says prices for
renovated houses in the east now start at $600,000.
"For semi cottages, and they're one of the strongest
sections of the market, properties that were selling a
few years ago for $450,000 are now starting at
$600,000-$650,000," says Mr McGrath.
"Even a little Paddington two-bedroom terrace is
going for $600,000 to $650,000, without any
parking."
He is predicting a strong market until the end of the
financial year (end June) by which time he expects
"some changes".
Mr McGrath then expects the market will "probably
settle into a reasonable plateau for a few years to come,
then something will drive it up".
He says 12 years ago prices doubled in 18 months whereas
"this time round we've seen properties going up 60
to 70 per cent in four to five years".
Michael Dunn, the director of Richardson and Wrench in
Double Bay, says his own prediction is that we've seen
the best of the market and that buyer confidence may
dissipate.
"It's my belief that the inevitable rise in the
Australian dollar will temper the interest by overseas
buyers and that will have a flow-on effect resulting in a
fall in confidence in the local market."
He's also tipping prices to "plateau".
"I don't anticipate a dramatic effect, but a slowing
in demand - not the end of the world - but back to a more
moderate level market when the buyers and the sellers are
on a level playing field."
North
Mosman agent David O'Gorman, of O'Gorman and Mahon, says
there are properties available but they're overpriced:
"No-one's going to part with an extra million
dollars if they don't have to."
Despite the high prices - and he says they've jumped 20
per cent in 12 months and nearly 100 per cent in four
years - he doubts they're heading for a crash.
"I firmly believe that we won't see a 100 per cent
increase on today's prices in four years - they'll
probably plateau. But interest rates are low so therefore
we won't get another crash."
Northern beaches agent Jason Martin, director of Century
21 in Dee Why, says: "Demand is outstripping supply
about tenfold, putting a real squeeze on prices."
South
Cristine Castle, director of Nationwide Realty in Oatley,
describes the southern suburbs as "rock solid".
She says buyers can usually find a quality full brick
three or four bedroom home for $600,000 to $650,000 in
Oatley with a pool on a 600-700 square metre block.
In Menai, Scott Gibbins, of Century 21, says he has three
bedroom brick veneer homes on big blocks with a garage
from $350,000 on his books, as well as $500,000 to
$800,000 homes overlooking the Woronora or Georges river.
Inner West
Sebastian Bonaccorso, the principal of Elders in Enfield,
says entry level prices in his area start around the
$400,000 mark for weatherboard semi or $550,000 to
$600,000 for a three bedroom freestanding bungalow.
But prices are skyrocketing.
West
Penrith agent John Burgoyne, principal of RE/MAX, says:
"Stock priced between $200,000 and $250,000 is very
patchy and there's not a terrific amount in the market
from $300,000 to $375,000 either."
He says entry level buyers will pay $225,000 to $300,000
in south Penrith for a three-bedroom brick veneer home
with a garage. At the other end of the scale, four
bedroom homes at Glenmore Park with a rumpus/family room
and pool cost $475,000.
|