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Outlook> 2004 > November
Top line electrical gadgets boom
THERE has never been a better tune to get wired for sound. Or photographs.
Or DVDs, LCDs and USBs.
Prices on electronic gadgets are dropping
so fast - some as much as 60 per cent in a year that average consumers
are now able to fill their lounge rooms with cutting-edge technology.
A year ago, a lO2cm plasma TV cost up
to $10,000 but some models now sell for about $4000 and consumers
are snapping them up.
This helps drag prices down and keep them
there. As more buyers rush to take advantage of reduced prices,
more equipment is produced to meet demand.
VCRs used to cost more than $1000. Now
they cost next-to-nothing. The phenomenon is referred to in the
industry as "price erosion".
How long it takes for a price to "erode"
depends on the product type. Laptop computers have come down in
price in recent times but took much longer to do so than digital
cameras or flash memory devices, such as USB "thumb" drives.
But it's in the plasma television market
where price drops have been most significant.
For whatever reasons this happens - improved
production efficiency and competition are the two main causes -
many items eventually approach a "sweet spot" for consumers who
can no longer hold back.
Among the big-name retailers experiencing
the rush is JB HiFi, which this week declared a 60.7 per cent increase
in full-year net profit and plans to open another six stores by
Christmas.
JB Hi-Fi Marion manager Tony Viali believes
that while falling prices play a part in increased sales, better
educated consumers are another factor.
"A year ago, people were wary of LCD and
plasma TVs because they heard somewhere that the screen life is
not very good," he said, but pointed out they would actually last
about 20 years.
This by far exceeds how long most people
plan to keep their TVs. Consumers have come to realise this, and
so are more confident with their purchase.
Among other product categories in which
prices have fallen during the past year are digital still and video
cameras laptop computers and portable music players.
Relatively new products, such as DVD and
hard-drive recorders, referred to as PVRs (Personal Video Recorders)
or DVRs (Digital Video Recorders), have also dropped in price.
Early models were priced about $2000 but
now they are about half that and, with emerging digital recording
technologies such as BluRay (which is intended to enable recording
of a High Definition telecast, whereas current DVRs can only record
Standard Definition) you can be certain the prices will soon be
shaken up again.
In fact, this could cause a major shift
in purchase patterns and pricing over the next year. As television
networks increase their production of high-definition content, consumers
will want to be able to record it, requiring yet another upgrade
to their system.
This will have a big effect on the sales
and pricing of standard-definition recorders.
CommSec analyst Craig Woolford said strong
economic conditions were bolstering consumer confidence and driving
more spending.
So how low can prices go? That's a question
no manufacturer is willing to answer. There is still room to move,
however, for price drops on televisions.
Truscott Hi-Fi manager Martin Johnson
believes pricing on LCD televisions may yet fall significantly.
A Sharp or Philips 92cm LCD a year ago would have cost about $11,000,
but they now are priced at about $9000 and may fall even further.
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