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Outlook> 2006
> September
Australians are still confident
IN THE face of another interest rate rise announced and growing
concerns about the state of the local economy, Australian consumers are
still among the world's most confident and ranked the seventh highest
globally.
According to research company ACNielsen's latest Global Online Consumer
Confidence Index, the Australian Index slipped three points in the past
six months to 114, however, it remained above the global and regional
averages of 96 and 90 respectively.
These and other findings were part of the twice-yearly global ACNielsen
Online Consumer Opinion Survey, the largest of its kind, which polled
over 23,500 people in 42 countries and more than 500 Australian
participants on their perception of the local economy, job prospects,
spending habits and major concerns.
The survey revealed that while Australians are still among the world's
most confident, the slight decline in the Index versus the previous six
months may have been driven by growing economic concern.
Almost two in five consumers (42 per cent) cited the economy as being a
major cause for concern - up six points versus November 2005, and now
on par with the Asia Pacific regional average. Major concerns
surrounding health (40 per cent) and job security (29 per cent) also
ranked highly.
"It is apparent that while consumer confidence in Australia remains
high, it could be vulnerable to shifts in our local economy," says Ben
Dixon, Executive Director, Retail ACNielsen Australia.
"This could have a flow on effect to consumers' discretionary spending
as consumers typically react by tightening their purse strings when
faced with uncertainty, and we've already seen a decline in spending on
areas such as out of home entertainment, holidays and new technology."
In the lead up to the Commonwealth Games in Melbourne earlier this
year, the November 2005 survey results revealed that the threat of
terrorism was of the highest concern at an alarming 36 per cent.
With the festivities now over, fears have subsided substantially with the latest data showing a 19 point drop to 17 per cent.
Conversely, almost one in ten (9 per cent) Australians are now
concerned about war - an increase of four points. The fear of terrorism
and war among Australian consumers is the highest in the Asia Pacific
region and on a global scale Australia is ranked seventh and third
respectively.
"While it is pleasing to see that the number of Australians anxious
about terrorism has decreased substantially over the past six months,
it is still concerning to see the growing fear about war," commented Mr
Dixon.
"Depending on how current circumstances in Israel and Lebanon pan out -
we may see this number escalate further over the next six months."
On job prospects and personal finances, Australians continue to be
optimistic with over three in four (76 per cent) saying job prospects
over the next 12 months looked good or excellent, significantly higher
than the global average of just 50 per cent.
Seventy per cent believe that the state of their personal finances in
the year ahead will be good or excellent, well above the global average
of 54 per cent.
The survey results reveal that there are a growing number of Australian
consumers focussed on debt reduction with close to half (45 per cent)
allocating their spare cash to paying off debts, credit cards and loans
- a four point increase from November 2005 and the fourth highest
globally.
Other financial priorities that ranked highly among Australian
consumers included saving (38 per cent), out of home entertainment (35
per cent) and holidays (34 per cent), although all three areas had seen
fairly substantial declines in the past six months.
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