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Outlook > 2006 > August
Motorbikes now more popular
NEW
Zealanders responding to high petrol prices and a weak currency are
turning to motorbikes and small cars, or not buying cars at all,
according to the latest vehicle statistics from Land Transport New
Zealand.
Goldman Sachs JBWere economist Shamubeel Eaqub said registrations had
"fallen precipitously" in the three months to June as a sign of
economic weakness and belt tightening.
But the Motor Trade Association (MTA) said the sharp fall in car sales
was not unexpected after booming sales last year and earlier this year.
Customers looking to take advantage of cost savings had boosted car
sales in the earlier months of the year, MTA spokesman Andy Cuming
said.
"The drop in the value of the New Zealand dollar earlier in the year
meant that car-buyers had looked to snap up lower-priced stocks before
imported costs rose.
"Likewise, buyers choosing to downsize to smaller cars in the face of
higher fuel costs had brought forward their buying decisions for
maximum advantage," Mr Cuming said.
Last year, registrations were buoyed by the strong domestic economy and lower car prices due to the strong currency.
Mr Eaqub said the 15 per cent slide in the New Zealand dollar this year had subdued demand.
It was also indicative of consumer spending weakness.
Slow car sales suggested the economy was struggling to grow and he was
comfortable with his forecast of just 1 per cent economic growth in
2006.
"While recent business surveys have been buoyed by improvement in
export sector sentiment (related to New Zealand dollar depreciation),
the weakness in motor vehicle registrations is an important reminder of
spreading weakness in the domestic economy and the household sector
more generally," Mr Eaqub said.
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