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Outlook > 2008 > January
Slowing property market confirmed
QUOTABLE
Value's (QV's) October statistics report growth in national property
values of 12.7 per cent over the past year (calculated over the three
months ending October 2007 in comparison to the same period last year).
This has eased from 13.2 per cent reported in September and is the
second month the rate of increase has dropped. The average sale price
for New Zealand residential properties increased slightly to $406,176.
"The effect of higher interest rates and lessening buyer confidence is
now reflected in a general slowdown in market activity and a shift from
a sellers market towards a buyers market" said QV spokesperson Blue
Hancock.
"Recent market indicators confirm that many people do not believe it is the right time to buy" said Mr Hancock.
"Purchasers are being careful and taking a longer time to buy property.
Developers and investors are also acting cautiously and seem willing to
wait for further market signs to appear.
Activity is patchy across a number of regions including the main urban
centres. All predictions are for a gradual easing in the market
overall, with the pace of any slowdown determined by the spring and
summer activity" said Mr Hancock.
All the main urban centres, except Hamilton, reported easing growth in
property values. Auckland City decreased to 11.9 per cent (12.1 per
cent last month). Wellington City property values dropped to 13.7 per
cent (down from 14.1 per cent reported last month), Christchurch eased
to 12.3 per cent from 13.1 per cent and Dunedin slowed to 9.4 per cent
from 10.4 per cent. Hamilton increased to 15.8 per cent from 14.4 per
cent last month.
Most of the provincial centres also reported flattening property
values. Gisborne's recent strong growth eased to 20.4 per cent from
21.8 per cent last month. Tauranga dropped to 7.7 per cent, Palmerston
North to 12.4 per cent, Nelson to 12.9 per cent, and New Plymouth was
flat at 9.8 per cent.
However, some provincial centres continued to increase. Napier's growth
in values leapt to 7.2 per cent from 4.9 per cent reported last month,
and Queenstown and Invercargill both continued their strong growth,
increasing from 10.8 per cent to 13.7 per cent, and 34.6 per cent to
36.4 per cent respectively. |