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> Our Publications > New Zealand Outlook > 2001 > July Budget sees
growth pickingTHERE were no shocks and
no excitement in New Zealand's Budget, which did nothing
for the exchange rate against the mighty US dollar.
It was a conservative budget, with a modest surplus, but
disappointed the business community by not cutting
corporate tax.
The Budget forecasts GDP growth in the year to March of
2.3 per cent, increasing to 2.6 per cent the following
year and averaging 3 per cent the next two years.
The $NZ641 million surplus was slightly lower than market
expectations but had been dragged down by the slowing
world economy, Finance Minister Michael Cullen said.
The Corporate tax rate in New Zealand remains at 33 per
cent after the Government refused to follow Australia's
lead and cut it to 30 per cent - a decision that
disappointed but did not surprise the business community
- and Dr Cullen said a cut "was not likely in the
next year or two".
"They'll be disappointment that there's not
signalling of a corporate tax rate cut," he said.
"If the problem is that our tax position is not
attractive enough for foreign investors, is lowering the
corporate tax rate the best way of trying to deal with
that issue?"
While Australia was soon to have a 30 per cent corporate
tax rate, it was in effect no lower - and perhaps higher
- than New Zealand because of employer superannuation
contributions and the abolishment of accelerated
depreciation in Australia, Dr Cullen said.
"Probably the overall burden of corporate tax in
Australia, particularly with the compliance costs of
their GST system, is if anything probably slightly higher
than New Zealand," he said.
But Business NZ chief executive Simon Carlaw said the
refusal to drop the tax sent out the wrong signals to
trading partners. "Australia is going to remain
competitive as a trading nation, but we are sending out
signals that we are going the other way," he said.
Opposition Leader Jenny Shipley said the failure to cut
the corporate tax rate would see New Zealand become
"an increasingly uncompetitive backwater" with
more jobs and industry disappearing across the Tasman.
While treasury forecasts were "benign", Dr
Cullen said an average GDP growth of 3 per cent between
2002 and 2005 was "good but not good enough".
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