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> Our Publications > New Zealand Outlook > 2004 > July
House price trend is on way down
THE real
estate industry is puzzled by New Zealand's latest
housing market figures. But economists say the market is
on a downward trend.
The latest figures issued show Wellington and Hawke's Bay
were among the few regions to record house sale price
increases. The Wellington median sale price was up 4.6
per cent from $261,000 in March to $273,000, while the
Hawke's Bay median house price rose 7.7 per cent to
$210,000.
Along with Auckland and Southland, these were the only
regions to buck the trend of lower sale prices. In
Nelson-Marlborough, where house prices have been rising
faster than anywhere else in the past few months, the
median sale price fell 7.6 per cent from $275,000 to
$254,000.
However, the performances of Wellington and Auckland, and
sales of some high-priced properties, were apparently
enough to lift the national median sale price from
$240,500 to $242,000. That was 19.2 per cent up on the
same time last year.
Real Estate Institute president Graeme Woodley said the
latest figures were "hard to take a reading
off".
"While some commentators are saying that the housing
market is running out of steam, the latest figures don't
currently provide evidence to support their claims,"
Mr Woodley said.
Deutsche Bank chief economist Ulf Schoefisch said the
gradual reduction in housing market pressure was evident
in the rise in the median number of days that it took to
sell a property, from 29 to 30.
He estimated that house price inflation had slowed to 2
per cent for the quarter, down from 7.3 per cent at the
July-September quarter last year.
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