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Outlook > 2006
> June
Health care costs continue to rise
HEALTH spending accounts for $9.6 billion
a year - and this year alone the Government will plough an extra $750
million into the sector.
But as the stories of patients being culled from hospital waiting lists
grow, it appears even the huge sums are barely enough to keep pace with
burgeoning demand and the rising cost of health and hospital services.
The Government is now spending $4 billion a year more on health than
when it came into office - and Finance Minister Michael Cullen has been
quietly warning for some time that the current growth in health
spending is not sustainable.
This year's $750 million dollop of new spending - well signalled in
advance of this year's Budget tomorrow - is an attempt by Dr Cullen to
peg spending back to more sustainable levels. But he admits it is still
too high and the Government should be aiming for a lower growth rate.
In 2005, National promised to "ring fence" the health and education
budgets for its first two years in office - but beyond that no
commitments were given.
In short, there appears to be a political consensus that the current
growth in spending is unsustainable - but solutions are less easy to
agree on as costs soar, due in part to rapid and expensive
technological advancements in medicine and an aging population.
National's solution is to cut bureaucracy, involve clinicians more in
the decision-making process, and better use the private sector to get
waiting lists down. But it has not said how much money will be saved by
trimming the bureaucracy and where the cuts will be made - or to what
extent the private sector will be used and how much that will save.
Some savings were anticipated by National from halting the roll-out of
universal health subsidies for 25 to 64- year-olds - but that policy
may have to be revisited before the next election, because the
subsidies - a key plank of Labour's health policy - will already be in
place.
But it is hospital waiting lists -rather than the cost of seeing a
doctor - that Labour has been struggling to explain since the election,
with reports that thousands of patients are being referred back to
their GPs for assessment as district health boards struggle to cope
with rising demand.
In his first major speech since taking up the portfolio, Health
Minister Pete Hodgson has defended the Government's record, pointing
out that while people dumped off waiting lists were "entitled to feel
annoyed", 107,000 people underwent surgery last year and that the
complexity of the surgery being done has increased.
Mr Hodgson says the Government has no choice but to prioritise elective
surgery to fit the available health dollar, but denies waiting lists
are out of hand.
The Government has been blessed for five years by a relatively content health sector.
But as clinicians and patients start to speak out over the strains that
are beginning to show in the hospital waiting lists, it is clear that
even $4 billion more a year is not the answer on its own to the
problems facing the health sector. |