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Outlook > 2006 > November
Imports and exports continue to rise
By Lawrence Johnston
IMPORTS and exports of merchandise goods continued to rise in August,
Statistics New Zealand said last month. Imports have been rising since
last December and exports since July 2005.
A drop in the New Zealand dollar contributed to both trends.
According to the Reserve Bank's Trade Weighted Index, the New Zealand
dollar was 9.6 per cent lower in August 2006 than a year earlier. This
change is likely to have influenced values for all import and export
commodities.
The increases in August 2006 for both imports and exports - 6.4 per
cent and 15.4 per cent, respectively - were broadly based. Thirty-two
of the top 40 import commodity groups and 34 of the export groups
showed an increase when compared with the previous August.
In August 2006 the largest contributors to the increase in imports were
petroleum and products. Despite the irregular nature of petroleum
shipments, this was the seventh month in the last eight when petroleum
and products had the highest value for any import commodity.
The greater increase in exports than imports produced a smaller trade
deficit than in August 2005. But the August 2006 deficit of NZ$ 961
million (35.3 per cent of exports) is the second largest on record in
August, and compares with an average deficit of NZ$ 484 million (20.9
per cent of exports) over the past decade.
The annual trade balance was a 19.6 per cent deficit. As a proportion
of exports, this is the lowest annual deficit since September 2005.
Meanwhile, seasonally adjusted total retail sales remained unchanged in
August 2006 compared with the previous month. Excluding the
vehicle-related industries, sales for the core retailing group fell 0.6
per cent.
The total retail sales trend has eased in the past year, with the rate
of increase falling to a monthly average of 0.3 per cent. This compares
with an average increase of 0.6 per cent in the previous two years.
The largest dollar-value increases were recorded in the motor vehicle
retailing industry, up 3.7 per cent, and the hospitality-related
industries, with a combined increase of 2.5 per cent.
Downwards contributions of sales were more widespread, with the largest
dollar-value decreases recorded in recreational goods retailing, down
7.5 per cent, and department stores, down 3.9 per cent.
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