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> Our Publications > New Zealand Outlook > 2002 > December Housing prices
ready to surge NEW ZEALAND could be on
the verge of another surge in housing activity, according
to the latest ASB Bank quarterly housing confidence
survey.
The survey showed that most people expected house prices
to rise, an expectation that waned during July.
ASB chief economist, Anthony Byett said that while other
confidence indicators in the latest survey were mixed,
the overall outlook remained positive, underwritten by a
strong demand for houses.
"The mixed nature of people's response to the survey
relates to the disparity between high expectations of
rising house prices but a low belief that now is a good
time to buy."
Mr Byett felt the contradictory opinions were partly due
to people's anxiety about the global economy.
Fixed lending rates had declined recently, rekindling
housing activity, and as people became less fearful of
higher interest rates, Mr Byett predicted an even more
positive outlook.
The survey shows that during the September quarter, an
average 4-5 per cent of respondents believed that house
prices would increase (54 per cent in the June quarter).
Twenty-four per cent believed it was a good time to buy a
house (against 35 per cent previously) and 53 per cent
believed that interest rates will increase (71 per cent).
Mr Byett said Auckland had the potential for the highest
house prices, due to a shortage of suitable property and
people's expectations.
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