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> Our Publications > New Zealand Outlook > 2001 > May Home loan rates
downTHE New Zealand Reserve Bank cut
interest rates by a quarter of a per cent, taking
official rates to 6 per cent, because of the slowing
growth in the countries trading partners.
The cut - which follows quarter per cent cut in March -
comes after figures showed New Zealand's consumer price
index fell by 0.2 per cent in the March quarter.
This put the annual inflation index back to 3.1 per cent
from 4 per cent three months ago.
The fall was driven by a large reduction in public
housing rents and falling petrol prices and international
airfares.
Economists predicted the inflation rate was in little
danger of increasing and would fall within the Reserve
Bank's target of below 3 per cent in the second half of
this year.
ANZ bank chief economist Bernard Hodgetts said the bank
would probably cut a further quarter of a per cent off
interest rates in its May monentary policy statement.
"History suggests that they probably mean what they
say in terms of their reluctance to throw caution to the
winds and cut rates more aggressively at this
point," he said.
Deutsche Bank senior economist in Auckland Darren Gibbs
said that despite Dr Brash's cautious tone, the market
was evenly divided on another cut of 0.25 or 0.5 per
cent.
The size of the cut would depend on how much worse the
world economic situation became and where Australia and
the US rates moved, he said.
But the Reserve Bank is still concerned about inflation
with Dr Brash saying: "World prices for our
commodities remain robust and the exchange rate has
fallen back since March.
"These unexpected developments, if they persist,
could take much of the disinflationary sting out of
weakening global demand.
"In addition, significant parts of the economy are
operating near to capacity and the labour market is
relatively tight.
"It is for these reasons that we are only cautiously
moving the official cash rate in the same direction as
official interest rates in other countries."
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